Should I Buy IBM (IBM)? Finance YouTuber Analysis

The YouTuber advises against buying IBM at its current price, despite its involvement in quantum computing. He argues that the stock is overvalued, trading at 23 times free cash flow, which is a premium for a company with low returns on capital and high debt levels. While acknowledging IBM is a profitable business, he believes the current price does not justify the investment for a reasonable return.

“for me, unless I'm making egregiously high assumptions on that on these levels that I'm not willing to make, it's a pass for Marie right now.” — ▶ 20:00

The speaker bought IBM after Donald Trump mentioned it, noting that he quickly saw significant gains. He implies this is a speculative move based on external mentions rather than fundamental analysis.

“Da hat er ja auch glaube ich wieder IBM z.B. mal erwähnt jetzt. Ne, dann geht die Aktie auch wieder nach oben. Habe ich dann auch mal hin mich mal hinterher gesprungen, bin ich auch jetzt direkt richtig dick im Plus.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber recommends IBM as an 'infrastructure layer' play, highlighting its role as a quantum standard-bearer. IBM is building quantum computers and the operating system (Qiskit) that others use, with over 450,000 developers. They also offer quantum-as-a-service to over 500 corporate clients, setting the benchmark for quantum breakthroughs.

“IBM isn't just building quantum computers. They're building the operating system that everyone else runs on. Their quantum system 2 houses 133 cubit Heron processors in modular racks that can scale up.” — ▶ 07:40

The YouTuber views IBM as a solid choice for quantum computing, acting as an architect, integrator, and facilitator with its Quantum processors and Qiskit framework. While not a 'bright shiny object,' its established nature, healthy financials, and dividend make it a strong contender when demand for quantum computing truly kicks in, despite its diversified portfolio diluting the quantum impact.

“IBM is not a bright shiny object like many of the other companies and I see them as a solid choice in a few years when the demand really begins to kick in for Quantum Computing” — ▶ 16:50